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Home Page › Finance & Investment › Stocks & Equities
 

Speculator or Investor?

 
Author: Al Thomas

Talked to your broker or financial planner lately? Probably. The slowdown in the economy is causing the stock market to go down. Of more than 5,000 stocks on the Nasdaq over 1,000 have lost 90% of their value and more than 200 have lost 99%. The Index is off 58% from its highs. Pretty scary for Buy and Hold believers.

When you ask your broker what to do he usually gives you the standard Wall Street conventional wisdom, You are a long term investor. You are in for the long haul. The market always comes back. Now ask yourself, In my lifetime? Having traded for more than 30 years I will tell you any stock that has dropped 90% will never go back to its old highs and the Nasdaq Index will go lower before it goes higher. The most optimistic opinion I have is it will be 10 years before we see any kind of approach to 5100.

But you dont have to worry about that because your broker says you are a long-term investor and not a speculator. Folks, there is no difference between an investor and a speculator except the time period. Yes, you are a speculator, but in order to become successful you must learn some of the basic rules.

Rule One. Never take a big loss. Know how much you are willing to risk when you purchase a stock or mutual fund. Lets suppose you bought CatsnDogs at $60/share. You invested $6000. What if it went down instead of up? Are you willing to take a loss of $1,000? Are you willing to sell it immediately to safeguard what is left of your capital or would you prefer to watch it slowly it drift down to $12/share with a loss of $4,800 with possibility of its going even lower. In a heavily traded issue it could take years before you ever get back to even. What if the stocks name was Lucent?

Always place an open stop-loss order when you buy any stock and have a mental stop for any mutual fund. Despite what Wall Street tells you mutual funds do go down. You should never blindly buy a good fund and put it away. Again, know how much you are willing to risk before you make the purchase.

Rule Two. There is no such thing as a good stock or mutual fund that you buy and hold forever. Yes, many stocks and funds go up, but just as many have huge price retracements and you dont want to own them while they are going down. Is U.S. Steel a good company? If you had bought the stock any time in the last 5 years you would have a loss. Why would anyone want to keep it? The object of buying any stock is to make money not sit on it like a china egg.

The talking heads in CNBC-TV all tell you to buy and hold and it is a lie. It tells me they dont understand their trade. They are not professionals because all the successful professional traders I know would never do this.

Despite what your broker tells you you are a speculator. You are a long-term speculator. If you want to double your investment returns you have to change your thinking.

Author Bio:

Al Thomas

Albert W. Thomas has spent most of his life in the field of finance. In 1965 he founded an insurance holding company, Security Dynamics Investment Corporation, after having been an agent and General Agent for several life insurance companies. In 1970 he became cofounder and president of Real Life Estate, Inc., that marketed a unique real estate and life insurance package.

After he became interested in commodities he bought a seat for his personal trading on the Chicago Open Board of Trade, which is now known as the MidAmerica Commodity Exchange. Later he became a full time trader and also acted as a commodity broker for a few select clients. By fellow floor traders Al is considered to be an excellent technical analyst much of which is outlined in his book IF IT DOESN'T GO UP, DON'T BUY IT! It became a best seller on Amazon.

In 1981 he sold his membership on the Exchange and with his wife, Carolyn, lived full time aboard their 41' ketch, the Aumakua (which means guardian angel in Hawaiian). They sailed in Florida and the Bahamas for two years.

He founded World Trading Group in 1984 that grew to the seventh largest introducing commodity brokerage firm in the U.S. with 35 offices from coast to coast, Alaska and Canada. It was sold in 1992.

Al is a graduate of Northwestern University with a B.S. degree in Commerce and is a member of MENSA. He is now president of Williamsburg Investment Company that syndicates his weekly financial column since 1999 to more than 300 newspapers and writes a financial market letter called Over My Shoulder that is quoted in Barron?s and many other publications. A 3-month trial subscription is available on his web site. He is a regular guest on several financial radio talk shows.

His favorite pastime is fishing.

Mr. Thomas is available for speaking engagements. Please call 321-453-5300 for more information.

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